Monday, November 13, 2017

Do We Really Need Humans to Explore Space?

Is it worth the time and expense to send humans into space? This question has been debated for a long time, and continues to be asked as robots grow more sophisticated. The central question is this: is there any justifiable reason to sending men and women to other planets, or is exploration best left to the machines?

Robin McKie may have an answer, and that answer is robots. In his 2014 article on the subject, he lists many of the advantages of unmanned space exploration. Some of these include:

Cost. It is far less expensive to send a robot into space than a human, because a machine does not require food, environmental control, or basic safety measures. Robots can travel lighter, which means they can travel farther at a lower cost (McKie, 2014).

Range. McKie (2014) also points out that robots can travel farther and work in far harsher environments than humans. As a result, they have explored environments like Saturn’s moons, where robot probes discovered hydrocarbon lakes.

Sophistication. McKie (2014) also states that exploration robots have become very sophisticated, evolving far beyond their primitive ancestors of two decades ago. These days, a robot can execute just about all the science experiments that in years past could only have been done by humans.
From a practical perspective, I believe that robots are the better choice. I think that exploration should be an exclusive domain of machines. My biggest reason for saying this is the fact that supporters of manned exploration seem to rely more on poetry than data.

Noted astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson said this of manned spaceflight: “humans are endowed with the ability to make serendipitous discoveries that arise from a lifetime of experience” (Tyson, 2012). Those are beautiful words, but they don’t hold much weight when justifying manned spaceflight. Human beings can make “serendipitous discoveries” just as easily by sifting through the data sent back by the explorer machines.

Cosmologist Stephen Hawking echoed those statements: according to him, robotic missions “may provide more scientific information, but they don’t catch the public’s imagination in the same way…” (McKie, 2014). Again, we have the appeal to heart, without much hard data to back it up.
This pattern repeats itself often when the manned vs. unmanned debate pops up. Proponents of unmanned flight say that robots provide much more information than human astronauts, and at a fraction of the cost. Supporters of human flight point out that putting a man on Mars instead of just another robot would serve as an inspiration to all people.

Both camps make great points. The images of Neil Armstrong on the moon inspired untold numbers of young men and women to pursue science as a career. And landing a man (or woman) on Mars would, in my opinion, have a similar effect.

If push comes to shove, however, then I fall squarely into the robots-only camp. Robots are growing more sophisticated by the day, and computing power continues to accelerate. Decades ago, it would have made more sense to send people into space, due to the limits in computer power and robot design at the time. Now, however, putting human beings on Mars (and beyond) feels like a vanity project. It would be great to see human footprints on Mars one day, but not while those footprints come with a hundred billion-dollar price tag (Wall, 2012). There is no way to justify spending that kind of money when a robot can do the same mission at a fraction of the cost.

In my heart, I’m for manned space exploration. In my head, however, I know that manned exploration no longer makes sense. Space exploration is best left to the machines. Manned flight has lots of poetic and philosophical support, but unmanned exploration has numbers. And, in this case, the numbers win.
References

McKie, R. (2014). Astronauts lift our spirits. But can we afford to send humans into space?
     
     Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/science/2014/dec/07/can-we-afford-to-send-
     
     humans-into-space

Tyson, N.D. (2012). Neil deGrasse Tyson: only humans can truly explore space. Retrieved from
     
     http://nationalpost.com/opinion/neil-degrasse-tyson-only-humans-can-truly-explore-space

Wall, M. (2012). Should NASA ditch manned missions to Mars? Retrieved from

     
     https://www.space.com/16918-nasa-mars-human-spaceflight-goals.html

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Airborne Drones: Tools, Not Toys
            When it comes to commercial airborne drones, the world seems to be pointing in one direction: delivery. Amazon wants to use flying drones to deliver packages (Manjoo, 2016). A company called TacoCopter is trying to live up to its name by using quad-rotor drones to deliver tacos (Mediati, 2012). Even Google is getting in on the action, testing their own delivery drone system (Barr & Bensinger, 2014). The big companies seem to think that delivery drones are the wave of the future.

            Dr. Pippa Malmgren sees the market differently. An economist and best-selling author, Dr. Malmgren firmly believes that delivering food and parcels isn’t where the drone market is heading. Instead, she believes that the true future of the drone is as a data-collecting tool (Malmgren, 2017). I want to focus on her arguments, because she has literally put her money where her mouth is: Dr. Malmgren is one of the founders of H Robotics (website link: http://hrobotics.co.uk/), which develops and sells drones aimed at the commercial market. Here is what the base H Robotics drone looks like:

                                          Image source: Malmgren, 2016

In her 2016 article, Dr. Malmgren makes the following statement: “…just as you would not confuse a Chevy and a Ferrari, you should know that drones are very different from each other”. This is a statement with which I wholeheartedly agree. As we have already seen in both this blog and others, multiple companies are developing ground and sea-based drones for all types of commercial purposes; it’s not surprising to the see the same kind of development with commercial quad-rotor unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
            Dr. Malmgren also states, in both her 2017 and 2016 articles, that she doesn’t think the idea of drones as delivery vehicles will take off (pun intended) because they are dangerous. A thirty-plus-pound drone, flying over a residential neighborhood, presents all kinds of hazards; children and dogs will be drawn to it, and if it falls, it will leave serious damage in its wake. To make her point, she posts a video of a camera drone almost crushing slalom skier Marcel Hirscher. It is a very convincing video, so I am linking it here. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xeviAWB0i4Y

Given how many drones would have to fly on a daily basis to meet Amazon’s delivery demands, it is inevitable that some would crash and cause injury, especially since so many of them would have to fly over heavily populated areas. I find myself agreeing with Dr. Malmgren here as well; delivery may well be left to the ground-based drones. At the very least, aerial drone delivery sounds as if it will be far more complex to pull off than we even think today.
            What then is the future of the quad-rotor drone? As I stated earlier in this blog, Dr. Malmgren thinks that the answer is data collection. She envisions her drones being used for broadcasting, mine valuation, search and rescue, and insurance analysis (Malmgren, 2016), to name just a few functions. The desired end state is a highly modular and customizable drone that can be used for anything the user can imagine. Her goal appears to be to make the H Robotics drone a quad-copter Swiss Army knife of sorts.
            This is where I think aerial drones are headed as well. The H Robotics drone is highly customizable and modular, which I think is the key to all these platforms. The most successful drones will be the ones who allow the customer to use them for whatever they envision, rather than dictate to the customer how they should use the system. Drones that allow for user creativity will be the ones that thrive; human imagination is limitless, and drones can be that imagination’s next tool.


References
Barr, A. & Bensinger, G. (2014). Google is testing delivery drone system. Retrieved from
     https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-reveals-delivery-drone-project-1409274480
Malmgren, P. (2016). Drones and the coming 4D world. Retrieved from
     malmgren?articleId=7552070594417338614
Malmgren, P. (2017). Commercial drones: the smallest and most profitable part of the drone
     market by the founder of @H_Robotics. Retrieved from
     pippa-malmgren?trk=mp-reader-card
Manjoo, F. (2016). Think Amazon’s drone delivery idea is a gimmick? Think again. Retrieved
     is-a-gimmick-think-again.html
Mediati, N. (2012). TacoCopter deliverys tacos by quadrocopter: is this for real? [updated].
     quadrocopter_is_this_for_real_.html